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High range IQ test

2018/5/5.  High range IQ test… I took the high range IQ test , Free fall by Dr.Ivan Ivec , and it is bad score. Language test: 6/15 ( IQ134 ) Numbers test: 5/15 ( IQ130 ) I wanted better scores… I estimated that I could get language test 10/15 & numbers test 8/15. I think that too much relax mode makes people lower IQ score. People scores high IQ when they are in troubles or stresses…

World Economy: 2007 & 2018

Japanese economy at 2007 and 2018 are very similar.  There are 3 points to be thought as so. 1)Bank Of Japan(BOJ) wants to stop monetary easing. 2)Some economic bubbles happens in Japan by excess money. 3)Politics & Society don’t change anything from 2007 to 2018. 1)BOJ BOJ wanted to stop monetary easing at 2007. After stop, the subprime loan was crashed. Low interest money flew to the USA, and when the flow stopped, the highest interest rates loan was crashed by stopping credit bubble. Now, the lowest interest rate money is flowing to USA from Japan. (Mizuho Targets Lower-Rated Firms in U.S. Investment Banking Push:Japan edition https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/articles/2018-04-23/P7ML1J6JIJUT01 ) 2)Bubbles At 2007, some college students earned by stock bubble.  At 2018, some young people earned by crypto currency.  This type of new riches are orthodox before bubbles ends. 3)Politics & Society Politics & Society are stil...

North Korea’s saying & action

2018/5/3. North Korea ’ s saying & action  4 things to remember about the North Korea talks http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-perspec-korea-north-trump-kim-jong-un-0503-20180502-story.html North Korea left from NPT ( Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons ) in 1993 and 2003.  Is this time different from past? It ’ s difficult to think so.  1993 was the first year of USA president Bill Clinton , and 2003 was first year of second term of USA president Barack Obama.  When USA president from Democrat party starts , the first year or second term ’ s first year is time to change leaving from NPT for North Korea. I think that North Korea and USA will reach to the agreement in this time. ( 70% , I think. ) But in the future , North Korea will break it.

Market: Reading Jim Rogers’ blog

2018/5/2. Market: Reading Jim Rogers ’ blog Stock Market: The Decline Will Resume Later In The Year http://jimtalksmarkets.blogspot.jp/2018/04/stock-market-decline-will-resume-later.html?m=1 #Just my opinion after reading Jim Rogers ’ blog. 2018 July will be top point in stock market. Until 2018 July , squeeze of selling stocks will happen. So selling stocks by short is dangerous until 2018 July. Buying back selling stocks is the method for middle class traders. Before declining stocks market , the market drains middle class traders ’ money. I researched SONY company ’ s performance. And these days ’ Economy situation is similar in 10 years ago.

No Apple shock

2018/5/2. No Apple shock  I was wrong. Sorry... Apple Q2 2018 Earnings and Conference Call -- Live Blog https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/apple-earnings-q2-2018-conference-call-live-blog Apple company is strong. Recently I was too pessimistic...

North Korea

2018/5/1. North Korea  #Just my opinion  Pressures by USA & other countries , are very strong. Now , North Korea really wants to stop pressuring. Until North Korea & China meeting , Russia ’ s affection is very strong , especially at nuclear weapons development. And after nuclear weapons development ended , North Korea turned to China. And then , North Korea turns to USA. What ’ s the meaning of these actions? The importance for North Korea may be below... Russia >China >USA  Or Russia >=China >USA  And Russia:Weapons development & manufacturing  China:Weapons bank & selling USA:Money & Food  China ( government )’ s roles may be North Korea ’ s Weapons bank & selling them. Now North Korea can make nuclear weapons & ICBM. But how to change them to the money? There is need to some countries helping. And why Chinese government ’ s top gave a lot of presents for North Korea. I think th...

Apple shock

2018/4/28. Stock market: Short term waves & Apple shock  Short term waves often kill middle class traders. Or to kill middle class traders , there are short term waves in market. If there is no volatility , the market doesn ’ t have their function. On the point of long term view , the world stock market is peaking out or peaked out.  Not to be killed by short term waves , the stock positions must be smaller.  Jim Rogers , who is most famous investor , wrote that there will be last bull market before crashing. But I don ’ t think so. Apple Shock...  This is what the beginning of bear market , I think. ( Apple shock is the decreasing of selling the iPhone X. ) Apple shock may cause excess of CPU , display and memories.  Apple shock may be signal that the excess of individual ’ s credit card money , comes to the end. The iPhone X may be the first thing that young people want. And whether young people doesn ’ t or can ’ t buy it , it ’...

Tokyo stock market: Peaked out?

2018/4/26. Tokyo stock market seems downing... I think bear has already came to Tokyo market. Probably , 2nd end buyers are losing their money by short term trading.  End buyers are the beginners to trade stocks , and they buy stocks at highest prices. 2nd end buyers are middle class traders. They trade stock for short terms and they have small money. When the market peaks out , the 2nd buyers ’ money will be drained by top traders. Japanese Economy seems to be peaked out , I feel.  I have small confidence in this opinion. #I am finer than last week! 

Stock market game

2018/4/17. Stock market game Prayers , Players or Insiders , which am I? Prayers:Buy , hold & pray Players:Buy/Sell on probability and get constant earnings  Insiders:Know stocks from inside Warren Buffet may be Insiders , because he knows lots of company from inside position. So I cannot be like him. If we want to get earnings from market , we have to be players or insiders. Buy , hold & pray is effortless way , and the way sometimes go well.  I felt hopeless when I started stock market game at first , 12 years ago. At that time , I only have ¥50 , 000 , so that I cannot buy highly price stocks. Compared to that age , I have some hope for the market. Of course , I don ’ t have much money.  Bank of Japan still keeps financial easing. This is good news. I don ’ t know when they stop , but still keeps. There may be small space & hope for investment to Japan market.

World Markets: Pendulum!

2018/4/17. World Market: Pendulum! World market is in the fixed range. Bull and Bear are fighting with same power. In this range , there is no good/bad news ,   news follows the market , the market doesn ’ t follow news. If good news what I feel is released , that news doesn ’ t affect the market. The news would be only used as following reason for raising or falling.

Bitcoin

2018/4/16.  Bitcoin  Bitcoin , a lot of speculators are losing interest about it. It seems that Buy/Sell volume is getting lower , so that the price has volatility. Now , Bitcoin ’ s system is like pension system. I mean that first takers get a lot of money , followers lose money , and when followers want to withdraw their money , the price gets easily lower , pongee scheme… I know some people can ’ t trust government ’ s pension system and they want to trust another scheme. But bitcoin has same trick as government is doing. People who bought bitcoins , bought dream or nightmare… It cost a lot… #I don ’ t know the future , so perhaps bitcoin will be main currency of world economy.

Rocket “Trading”

2018/4/15. What is my rocket? Rocket takes me to the moon , far from ground. Vital few people reach to the moon. Components of my rocket are my strengths.  Fuel of rocket is joy emotion. Rocket is vehicle to the success. I try to trade stocks & options. It ’ risky , I know. If trading doesn ’ t work well , I will work full time job & learn Swift programming. Before starting trades , I simulate it works or not. Rocket “ Trading ”, does it fly? Rocket “ Trading ” 1 ) Capital cycle time:3-5 days 2 ) Risk Reward ratio:2.0-3.0 3 ) Winning rating:60-70% What I think as most important is 1 ) capital cycle time. Next , winning rating. I want more than 60%. Third , risk reward ratio. I want this more than 2.0 , I mean +¥100 , 000. Risk is  -¥50 , 000.  Trade Limit Low High Capital cycle  1day 3-5days Winning rate 6/20times 14/20times RiskReward -¥50 , 000 ¥150 , 000 ...

Sakura & Bank Of Japan

Sakura(Cherry Blossoms) & Monetary Easing by Bank of Japan   Strong spring winds blow the Cherry Blossoms. I heard that Japanese old army at WW2 planted cherry blossoms for the reason. It is that flowers which are spreading gently was just like old Japan army, and they overlapped self as Cherry Blossoms.  Monetary Easing by bank of Japan is now proceeding, is this overlapped sakura? Sakura flowers bloom a lot in one moment, and strong winds blow them. This monetary easing reduces Japanese ¥’s value and this is last attack to Japanese economy by short-term-view-to-long-term-problem.  Strong winds will blow from China, maybe freedom of exchange currency.

North Korea and Syria

2018/4/14.  North Korea and Syria  USA is attacking Syria , so USA won ’ t attack North Korea until Syria war ends. USA won ’ t or can ’ t do parallel wars. This is good news for North & South Korea , and China.  Behind Syria , there is Russia. USA ’ s immediate enemy is Russia. China can get economic growth terms for more than 2-3 years. On the USA & North Korea Top meeting , there may be no risk about east Asia war. Why USA attacks Syria is higher price of oils , I think. China use a lot of oils for economic growth.  So higher price of oils attacks Chinese economic growth largely. There are other reasons , to protect Israel , break the China government ’ s 一帯一路 one way road , attack Russia and re-get the control in the middle-east. And I think that Israel is more important than Japan is for USA. This is because USA attacks Syria.