Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...
2017/8/29. USA vs China and North Korea China had been loser from 19th centuries , this is because of late for industrial revolution & internal conflict. These reasons seems to be solved now. China has power and will aim to get symbolic honor , this is the name "Winner to Japan or/and USA". Or the name may be "Top of the world ". In sooner or later , China will be richest country in the world , if USA doesn't hinder it. North Korea , why they fire missile ? I thought this point , and I think that North Korea's firing missiles aim Japan to have own army. First , I thought this thought had contradiction. But by second thought , if Japan has own army , what will happen ? The possibility of breaking the USA-Japan alliance will be higher , and if this is the real purpose for China & Russia , North Korea will keep on fire the missiles near Japan. That alliance is most dangerous for China , this is obvious. So China will break i...