Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label Economy

Chess and Economy, with Shogi(将棋) Solution

  Chess and Economy, with Shogi( 将棋 ) Solution “In chess, just as is life, today’s bliss might be tomorrow’s poison.” — Assiac Relationship Between Chess and Economy There is the relationship between Chess and Economy. Companies can be categorized in below. Pawn: Domestic companies which earn money from their countries only. Minor Pieces: Semi global companies which earn money from globally.; Bishops and Knights Major Pieces: Big global companies.; Queen and Lukes TOYOTA and Softbank: Japan Companies as Queen in USA Market TOYOTA and Softbank are Japan companies as Queen in USA market, they can earn a lot of money from the market. Further, they can contact USA politicians deeply. The Promotion-Sacrifice Paradox Tradeoff between promotion of Nippon Steel and sacrifice of TOYOTA, happened in Japan-US tariff negotiations. Because of that USA government doesn’t like Japan to have 3 queens in domestic market, USA government decided to have Golden Stocks in Nipp...

Conditions for Recommendation to Invest to Gold(2nd)

Conditions for Recommendation to Invest to Gold(2nd)                          “Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” — J.P.Morgan WHY TO INVEST TO GOLD? Gold sometimes is said to have no yields and not to invest to. There are a lot of investment targets, for example, stocks, bonds, Cryptocurrencies and so on. It sounds we don’t need to select gold as investment target. I thought and thought about conditions for recommendation to invest to Gold. There are 2 conditions for the recommendation. Perhaps, there are more than 2 conditions, but I found at least 2 conditions(Conditions A and B). Shrinking of Life Country’s Economy(Condition A) IS LIFE COUNTRY’S ECONOMY GROWING BIGGER? If so, it is good, and there may be no need to invest to Gold. However, if it is shrinking, there is some need to invest to Gold. If life country’s economy shrinks, all people in the country, including rich class, middl...

Conditions for recommendation to invest to Gold

  Conditions for recommendation to invest to Gold I thought and thought about the conditions for recommendation to invest Gold. There are 2 conditions(below Condition A and B) about it. (Condition A) Economic dependency’s scale is shrinking.(For example, Japan as aging society.) (Condition B) The economic dependency is non-replaceable.(For example, Japan is non-replaceable for the people who can’t escape from Japan.) Above Condition A means that countries whose economic growths are minus rates, is met. It shows they are in minus-sum game in Game Theory. Above Condition B means that people who can’t escape from those countries are met. There are some reasons for Condition A and B. In condition A, all people in the economic dependency will lose because of shrinking. Gold has value which increase/decrease prices as same as world inflation rates. In condition B, Gold is difficult to take to abroad, so that Gold is to recomend for people who can’t escape from the coun...

Good:Nippon steel;Promotion from Pawn to Queen

  Good:Nippon steel;Promotion from Pawn to Queen I saw this news. https://sp.m.jiji.com/english/show/40287 Good! Nippon steel promoted from Pawn to Queen in US market. Promotion is very difficult in Chess game. USA won't separate Japan from own economy. This news may show the feature for USA and Japan.

How to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China

  How to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China I thought about how to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China. First, what is the last move by USA to China? It is to recognize Taiwan’s independence to China. Then why will it to be checkmate to start WW3? Because I thought if Taiwan emergency by USA and China happens, Russia and North Korea will attack to South Korea and Japan. If Japan is attacked, Japan will start WW3. This is just my opinion, but not so far from truth. So what should we do for preventing USA’s the last move to China? I thought some options. Option A To defeat China economy before the last move. Option B To defeat USA economy before the last move. Option C To defeat both of USA and China before the last move. Option D To let both of USA and China win before the last move. These options are below matrix. USA/CHINA CHINA wins CHINA loses USA wins Option D Option A USA loses ...

Dissonance between President Trump and FRB

  Dissonance between President Trump and FRB I read this news. Trump readies order for steep tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, China https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-readies-order-steep-tariffs-goods-mexico-canada-china-2025-02-01/ I felt that there may be dissonance between President Trump and FRB. President Trump might think that FRB would cut interest rates, but FRB didn’t. I thought that President Trump wanted to order tariffs, and FRB would support it. Why does this dissonance happen? I think that there are difference between what President Trump watches and what FRB watches. President Trump may watch the future, but FRB watches past.

How to improve Pawn promotion probability

  How to improve Pawn promotion probability   In my economic view, there are 3 types of economic companies. Pawn: Domestic companies which work in own countries  Minor and Major pieces: Big companies which earn moneys in foreign countries  King: Central centers in own countries  Then, how to improve Pawn promotion probability? Supporting by Minor and Major pieces to Pawn may be good method. For example, if pawns in USA want to earn in China markets, supporting by Tesla, Microsoft and other Minor and Major pieces will be good. Conversely, if pawns in China want to earn in USA markets, supporting by Minor and Major pieces will be good. I recalled Mercari company’s fault. Mercari has tried to enter in USA markets only by itself, but it was failed. Because it had no support from minor and major pieces in Japan, such as TOYOTA or SoftBank.

TPP can stop the WW3

  TPP can stop the WW3 Background TPP(Trans-Pacific Partnership) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Pacific_Partnership TPP is the trade agreement around Pacific Rim. Background2 USA and China have the conflict between them. This conflict has possibility about WW3. Can USA vs China turn to be USA & China? I hope Yes. It will be solved by USA and China to join TPP at the same time. TPP has rules about the trade agreements. If USA rejoins the TPP, China will be denied to join the TPP. If China joins the TPP, USA will be denied to join the TPP. So that if USA and China join TPP at the same time, this problem will be solved. Then if USA want to leave TPP, USA can’t rejoin the TPP because of the presence of China. The reverse is also true. TPP can bring USA and China bigger trades. More abstracted TPP is one example. There are some rules about the group just like TPP. Both = USA and China (1)There are benefits for both countries by joining the group. (2)T...