Emotionics Market Analysis This article introduces a hypothesis that applies Emotionics to behavioral patterns in financial markets. In Emotionics, emotional behavior can be understood through two axes: 1. Verb Dimension: Feel vs Feign 2. State Dimension: Real vs Fake Human “emotion × action” diverges into the following four patterns: Positive Market Catalyst Real Emotion (genuine belief) Fake Emotion (internal disbelief but outward performance) Feel A: Believes the price will rise → buys B: Thinks the price won’t rise, but joins because others might push it up Feign C: Says the price won’t rise, but secretly buys D: Says the price will fall, but secretly buys (classic contrarian behavior) 🟦 A: Feel × Real — Pure Reaction / Retail Investors “Price will rise → buy” 🟧 B: Feel × Fake — Cooperative Participation / Semi-professional Traders “Personally doubtful, but joins because others may drive the price up in the sho...

Conditions for Recommendation to Invest to Gold(2nd)                          “Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” — J.P.Morgan WHY TO INVEST TO GOLD? Gold sometimes is said to have no yields and not to invest to. There are a lot of investment targets, for example, stocks, bonds, Cryptocurrencies and so on. It sounds we don’t need to select gold as investment target. I thought and thought about conditions for recommendation to invest to Gold. There are 2 conditions for the recommendation. Perhaps, there are more than 2 conditions, but I found at least 2 conditions(Conditions A and B). Shrinking of Life Country’s Economy(Condition A) IS LIFE COUNTRY’S ECONOMY GROWING BIGGER? If so, it is good, and there may be no need to invest to Gold. However, if it is shrinking, there is some need to invest to Gold. If life country’s economy shrinks, all people in the country, including rich class, middl...

  Nvidia I read this news. Nvidia insiders sold over $1 billion in stock amid market surge, FT reports https://www.reuters.com/business/nvidia-insiders-sold-over-1-billion-stock-amid-market-surge-ft-reports-2025-06-29/ If insiders sell own stocks, it may be bad news for buy sides. I know GPU is essential for Artificial Intelligence, but there may be hidden risks to invest to GPU providers. I don’t know what the risks are. Perhaps, “Nvidia shock” may come in near future. I don’t know how to avoid “Nvidia shock”, but only Nvidia stock price to fall will be possible if Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon, and  Apple will develop own GPU or another USA GPU company will appear.

  After inflation I thought about the economy after this inflation ends. This inflation seems to stay forever, but absolutely NO. I think it ends at 2027-2028. After it ends, resource nations, for example Russia, will face bad economy. I think that Gold is not to invest for short term view.

  China Share markets Background I am not good at investment. But hedge funds which sell China markets will be afraid of loss through the roof. Big short cover will happen… Exclusive: China to issue $284 billion of sovereign debt this year to help revive economy https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-issue-284-bln-sovereign-debt-this-year-help-revive-economy-sources-say-2024-09-26/ Conclusion Hedge funds might think Chinese economy would ends. China gov betrayed their expectations in good meaning for Chinese people. Additional thought In this situation, big medias will publish bad stories about China’s economy. This is because big medias’ friends and advertisers are/were in short position for China markets.

  2023/6/5.  Copper is more than Gold or Silver in Japan? 2 I researched about the relationship between copper and Nikkei 225. I wrote below codes. https://github.com/Kouhei-Takagi/PythonAlmostEveryday/tree/main/Nikkei225vsCopper https://github.com/Kouhei-Takagi/PythonAlmostEveryday/tree/main/Nikkei225vsCopper2 Nikkei 225 price seems to have relationship with copper power 3 price. Nikkei 225 = (Copper price ^3) * some times If you like this result, I will be happy. 2023/6/6. Additionally, Copper price has more relationship with Nikkei 225 than Copper price power 3. I was wrong. https://github.com/Kouhei-Takagi/PythonAlmostEveryday/tree/main/Nikkei225vsCopper3/Nikkei225vsCopper3 2023/6/10. Additionally, I did cluster analysis to the result. This is interesting. https://github.com/Kouhei-Takagi/PythonAlmostEveryday/tree/main/Nikkei225vsCopper4

  2021/1/10.     The Option trade   I got ¥100,000($1,000) with option trade. I have done good trade, but I am worrying about the stock markets now. The stock market is booming now. It’s not bad at all.  But it seems to be dangerous. Everybody becomes greedy, so take care! I recommend that keeping high cash position and entering into stock market with the money which you can lose. When everyone becomes greedy, it’s time to stop dancing on stock market. I have bought Gold & Silver. They are not so high prices. And I will bet my money with option trade again in near future. This site provides how market is greedy or fear. https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/ Now it’s 77 points greedy. There may be some space to raise stock prices. But I feel something is going strange. This is because nobody can stop money financing by central banks. I guess that stock prices will get higher till July in this year. But I don’t have solid confidence. This stock market’s b...

2018/4/15. What is my rocket? Rocket takes me to the moon , far from ground. Vital few people reach to the moon. Components of my rocket are my strengths.  Fuel of rocket is joy emotion. Rocket is vehicle to the success. I try to trade stocks & options. It ’ risky , I know. If trading doesn ’ t work well , I will work full time job & learn Swift programming. Before starting trades , I simulate it works or not. Rocket “ Trading ”, does it fly? Rocket “ Trading ” 1 ) Capital cycle time:3-5 days 2 ) Risk Reward ratio:2.0-3.0 3 ) Winning rating:60-70% What I think as most important is 1 ) capital cycle time. Next , winning rating. I want more than 60%. Third , risk reward ratio. I want this more than 2.0 , I mean +¥100 , 000. Risk is  -¥50 , 000.  Trade Limit Low High Capital cycle  1day 3-5days Winning rate 6/20times 14/20times RiskReward -¥50 , 000 ¥150 , 000 ...