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Showing posts from November, 2020

Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak

  Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return  High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...

The Japan society

  2020/11/14.     The Japan society   I am thinking about Japan society’s history after WW2. Japan society has tried to catch up with developed countries. It was achieved by optimized Japan system. The word “optimization” is suitable for Japanese character. Japanese are good at optimization in closed system. It means that if there are some platforms, Japanese will try to get first rank. Optimization is effective in closed system. This is one fact, and vice versa. Closed system needs optimization. If there is optimization, there is closed system. Watching current Japan society, too much optimization are there. This is caused by closed system. There are some solutions, opening closed system, keeping closed system, and so on. Japan society has chosen about keeping closed system. This is Japanese answer. And almost all Japanese don’t want to change their society. It is one solution. (I don’t know this is right choice.) They want to keep their lives as long as they can....

The NEXT one

2020/11/8.  The NEXT one USA president election has finished. Mr.Trump has done great works. He has showed us bad sides of current systems, Capitalism & Globalism. USA and other developed countries are aging, and this means that they are losing their power. This is clear from that they become to depend on MMT theory. Turning point is the time one developed country bankrupts. When turning point comes, aging developed countries will realize that they have to pay past generation’s debt. When and where the turning point will happen at, this is problem. Japan? USA? Italy? Or other country? I thought some situations, 1)Japan Japan is aging, and someday Japanese average workers will realize that they are paying past generation’s debt, not for their assets. At that time, they will do something bad thing to Japan government. Now, Japan gov is doing well, in other words, it is tricking average workers. Japan government’s bankruptcy will be after 2025.(This is roughly estimation.) 2)USA U...