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Showing posts from December, 2023

Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak

  Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return  High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...

Stock investment or Company investment

  2023/12/31.  Stock investment or Company investment I read some books about probability. I thought that the great investor, Warren Buffett might have invested to good companies, not to companies whose stock prices were likely to rise. This may be the principle. Investment to Good company Bad Company High stock price Normal or Not bad Bad Low stock price Good Normal or Not good There are several ways to find and measure which good or bad company is. The important point is to find good company, not company whose stock price is likely to rise.

Market shares & Influence power

  2023/12/18.  Market shares & Influence power Recently, I watched some news about AI rule makers. I thought about below matrix about the relationship between market shares and influence power. Relationship Big Market shares Small Market shares Big influence power (A) (B) Small influence power (C) (D) (A) and (D) are simple to understand. They have equal market shares and influence powers. But how about (B) and (C)? I think that (B) is standing on (C). In other words, (B) is depending on (C). If there is no (C), there will be no (B). To be specific, when Japan loses its influence power for rules, the countries such as (B) can’t exist. In fact, Japan is going from (C) to (D), so that  (B) countries will turn to be (C). This is just my idea, but may not be very wrong.