Creating favorite opinions

  Hierarchy minimizes conflict costs I watched this news with very interesting mind. Trump’s new expansionist target: Gaza https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-gaza-stunner-builds-his-expansionist-aims-2025-02-05/ I don’t say this President Trump’s saying is right or not. But I am interested in this idea for some reasons. (1)Why does the war happen in Middle East? Because there is no very strong military power. Of course, Israel has strong military power, but not enough when it is compared to other military powers in around countries. If there is outstanding military power, Middle East will be peace. Hierarchy minimizes conflict costs, this is rule in natural world. (2)What reactions will others do? I am interested in reactions of  other people, organizations and governments. This President Trump’s idea is extreme pro-Jewish, so that the reactions will be the litmus paper. The litmus paper reveals how much they like Jewish or don’t. (3)Where is USA’s int...

  How to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China I thought about how to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China. First, what is the last move by USA to China? It is to recognize Taiwan’s independence to China. Then why will it to be checkmate to start WW3? Because I thought if Taiwan emergency by USA and China happens, Russia and North Korea will attack to South Korea and Japan. If Japan is attacked, Japan will start WW3. This is just my opinion, but not so far from truth. So what should we do for preventing USA’s the last move to China? I thought some options. Option A To defeat China economy before the last move. Option B To defeat USA economy before the last move. Option C To defeat both of USA and China before the last move. Option D To let both of USA and China win before the last move. These options are below matrix. USA/CHINA CHINA wins CHINA loses USA wins Option D Option A USA loses ...

  Dissonance between President Trump and FRB I read this news. Trump readies order for steep tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, China https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-readies-order-steep-tariffs-goods-mexico-canada-china-2025-02-01/ I felt that there may be dissonance between President Trump and FRB. President Trump might think that FRB would cut interest rates, but FRB didn’t. I thought that President Trump wanted to order tariffs, and FRB would support it. Why does this dissonance happen? I think that there are difference between what President Trump watches and what FRB watches. President Trump may watch the future, but FRB watches past.

  Human evaluations are difficult, because they are all opinions. Human evaluations are very difficult. Because they are all someone’s opinions. I found it. Human vertical and horizontal evaluations are all stood on someone’s opinions. So that there is no perfect evaluation. If some consultants bring to you perfect human resource evaluation, the consultants are liars.

  Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return  High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...

  Caution:Foreign intelligence agencies may work harder in Far East Asia I watched this Korea news. South Korean leader's security chief warns against violent attempts to arrest Yoon https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-korean-presidential-security-chief-appear-questioning-by-police-friday-2025-01-10/ Then I watched Japanese famous talent’s scandal. The scandal may be aimed to damage the conservative media Fuji-Sankei Holding. I don’t know what truth is. However, I think that both of the Korea news and the scandal news may be set up by foreign intelligence agencies. Because the timing was too good for some foreign governments, including Russia and North Korea. The relationship between Russia and North Korea may be deeper than I thought.

  How to improve Pawn promotion probability   In my economic view, there are 3 types of economic companies. Pawn: Domestic companies which work in own countries  Minor and Major pieces: Big companies which earn moneys in foreign countries  King: Central centers in own countries  Then, how to improve Pawn promotion probability? Supporting by Minor and Major pieces to Pawn may be good method. For example, if pawns in USA want to earn in China markets, supporting by Tesla, Microsoft and other Minor and Major pieces will be good. Conversely, if pawns in China want to earn in USA markets, supporting by Minor and Major pieces will be good. I recalled Mercari company’s fault. Mercari has tried to enter in USA markets only by itself, but it was failed. Because it had no support from minor and major pieces in Japan, such as TOYOTA or SoftBank.

  Honda decided to lose their wings, and who will catch the feathers? I felt very uncool for Honda.  Honda, Nissan aim to merge by 2026 in historic pivot https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/honda-nissan-set-announce-launch-integration-talks-media-reports-say-2024-12-22/ Both of Honda and Nissan are losing China market car shares. In Japan, there are few companies which earn foreign currency. There are 2 company types in economy. High classed pieces and Pawns. High classed pieces earn foreign currency and Pawns are domestic companies. High classed pieces in Japan are losing their powers. They have earned from USA and China markets, but Chinese companies become their rivals. This indicates that China Pawns become to win Japan high classed pieces. In fact, if Japan high classed pieces lose USA markets, Japan won’t be able to earn foreign currency so that Japan gov will start to sell foreign assets(including US gov bonds). By the way, Honda will lose their wings ...