Emotionics Market Analysis This article introduces a hypothesis that applies Emotionics to behavioral patterns in financial markets. In Emotionics, emotional behavior can be understood through two axes: 1. Verb Dimension: Feel vs Feign 2. State Dimension: Real vs Fake Human “emotion × action” diverges into the following four patterns: Positive Market Catalyst Real Emotion (genuine belief) Fake Emotion (internal disbelief but outward performance) Feel A: Believes the price will rise → buys B: Thinks the price won’t rise, but joins because others might push it up Feign C: Says the price won’t rise, but secretly buys D: Says the price will fall, but secretly buys (classic contrarian behavior) 🟦 A: Feel × Real — Pure Reaction / Retail Investors “Price will rise → buy” 🟧 B: Feel × Fake — Cooperative Participation / Semi-professional Traders “Personally doubtful, but joins because others may drive the price up in the sho...

Tokyo Real Estate Market: Signs of a Shift As of  October 17, 2025 , I believe the Tokyo real estate market is gradually shifting from a  bull market  to a  bear market . Interest Rate Pressure: The Bank of Japan is now being forced to raise interest rates after a long period of monetary easing. Higher borrowing costs are likely to cool property demand. Exit Behavior from Early Investors: Several YouTubers and influencers who made fortunes through Japanese real estate investments now appear to be searching for  final buyers —a classic sign of a market top. Potential Restrictions on Foreign Buyers: Discussions about restricting foreign ownership of Tokyo properties are emerging, which could reduce overall demand and accelerate the cooling trend. Taken together, these signals suggest that the Tokyo real estate market may be entering a  transition phase , where optimism gives way to caution. Additional Thought Existing Japanese wealthy individuals may be tryin...

  Nvidia I read this news. Nvidia insiders sold over $1 billion in stock amid market surge, FT reports https://www.reuters.com/business/nvidia-insiders-sold-over-1-billion-stock-amid-market-surge-ft-reports-2025-06-29/ If insiders sell own stocks, it may be bad news for buy sides. I know GPU is essential for Artificial Intelligence, but there may be hidden risks to invest to GPU providers. I don’t know what the risks are. Perhaps, “Nvidia shock” may come in near future. I don’t know how to avoid “Nvidia shock”, but only Nvidia stock price to fall will be possible if Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon, and  Apple will develop own GPU or another USA GPU company will appear.

  Win to lose or Lose to win I searched some data about Japan stock markets. I have thought that individual investors give their money and pro investors take them. It may be wrong. I found that every investors cannot avoid to lose their money, but pro investors may be good at limit their losses. To limit losses may result to lose to win.

  Typhoon person I saw the Mexico and Canada stock prices went down from May 9, 2025. If this fall is not the whim of the market, this is signal for Trade war. In my experience, typhoon person is there. Typhoon person tends to have an ally nearby, attack people who keep their distance, and if enough far, there are no damage. Mexico and Canada will be damaged stronger than other far countries. 

 Correlation between features and USD/Japanese Yen(JPY) I wrote Python code for searching about correlation between features and USD/JPY. Combined_Price = (Gold × 1 + Oil × 2.5) × DGS10 DGS10 means 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate. Correlation was 0.93975.

 correlation-features-USA(corr=0.9645) df["Combined_Price"] = (     df["Gold"] * 10                              # 安全資産、価値保存     + (df["Copper"] - df["Zinc"]) * 0.75         # 工業金属の需給差（精錬コスト的な差？）     - (df["Wheat"] + df["Corn"]) * 2.5           # 食料インフレ圧力（消費者・企業のコスト増）     + (df["Oil"] - df["Uranium"]) * 30           # 化石燃料 vs 原子力（エネルギーのパラダイム） ) I found correlation(corr=0.9645) between combined features and DJI. This is from FRED data, so that some delays are included. https://medium.com/@takapoko182/a-personal-attempt-to-reconstruct-djia-using-commodity-prices-2015-2025-638e4375919c

  The Chinification of America vs the Americanization of China Hummm… https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-deflects-blame-economy-contraction-says-be-patient-2025-04-30/ I thought about the Chinification of America vs the Americanization of China. Simply, the Americanization of China seems to be more exciting. Further, I thought about double-sided transaction. If America market is bear trend, China market will be bull trend, so that there may be chances in both markets. (I don’t have enough money to do it, and I am not good at trading.) [Additional news] Military parade on Trump's birthday could include more than 6,500 troops https://www.reuters.com/world/us/military-parade-trumps-birthday-could-include-more-than-6500-troops-2025-05-02/ [Further Additional] I searched with Python code. I may be wrong about the markets. Correlation between China market and USA market becomes stronger than I expected.

  Dissonance between President Trump and FRB I read this news. Trump readies order for steep tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, China https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-readies-order-steep-tariffs-goods-mexico-canada-china-2025-02-01/ I felt that there may be dissonance between President Trump and FRB. President Trump might think that FRB would cut interest rates, but FRB didn’t. I thought that President Trump wanted to order tariffs, and FRB would support it. Why does this dissonance happen? I think that there are difference between what President Trump watches and what FRB watches. President Trump may watch the future, but FRB watches past.

  Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets Background I was interested in this news. Tradeweb to extend trading hours the day after US election https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/tradeweb-extend-trading-hours-day-after-us-election-2024-10-31/ My thought Share markets has turned to be Legal Online CASINO. USA share markets’ rival will be real/online CASINO. How to invest good companies? Venture capital is the way, not to bet money on share markets. What will happen in share markets? Current share markets are not the field to invest good companies. They are the field to play “Old lady game”. Rich sells shares in high price and poor buy a small amount the shares. After stock markets crash, Rich buy the shares little by little in low price to collect them. This is the system, which is alike to a hamster wheel. One idea I have read the book “Just Keep Buying”. The book only told that Just Keep Buying the shares. I can write Python code and use GCP, so that t...

  China Share markets Background I am not good at investment. But hedge funds which sell China markets will be afraid of loss through the roof. Big short cover will happen… Exclusive: China to issue $284 billion of sovereign debt this year to help revive economy https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-issue-284-bln-sovereign-debt-this-year-help-revive-economy-sources-say-2024-09-26/ Conclusion Hedge funds might think Chinese economy would ends. China gov betrayed their expectations in good meaning for Chinese people. Additional thought In this situation, big medias will publish bad stories about China’s economy. This is because big medias’ friends and advertisers are/were in short position for China markets.