Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label World

Double bind:Japan

  “Double bind:Japan” I saw some news about Japan being double bind. USA or China… Of course, Japan can’t choose China. But Japan politics (mainly Jimin Party) seem to want to get insurance for emergency of USA. Emergency of USA… There are somethings, for example the end of US$, USA President Election, or fiscal budget expansion… I think that Japan gov concerns about USA’s future. If Japan gov doesn’t concern it, Japan gov will be more aggressive to China. But Japan gov doesn’t, so that it is signal for something bad information. 

The war between Russia and Ukraine

  2023/9/19.  The war between Russia and Ukraine I watched this news. Graft accusations dog top Zelenskiy aides https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/graft-accusations-dog-top-zelenskiy-aides-2023-09-19/ I was wrong about the prediction Russia would lose. I thought the news indicates that Ukraine is not all clean country. This means that some people want to stop the war by lowering the rating of Ukraine. The war is starting to be ended. Ukraine president Zelenskiy may quit. Then I rethought more deeply. What was the trigger for it? I think it is to start the semi-alliance between Russia and North Korea.

Japanese listed companies

  2023/9/17.  Japanese listed companies I saw Mr.Warren Buffet has bought Japanese trading companies’ stocks. I thought it was good decision, but there may be misunderstanding between Japanese stocks and World stocks. In Japanese listed companies, the workers including CEOs in the companies, doesn’t think shareholders is more important than them. I made graphes. They think as core-shell structure or insider/outsider. And world stocks is below... So if Mr.Warren Buffet doesn’t know it, it may cause a lot of stress to him and Japan workers.

Japan gov’s diplomacy

  2023/9/13.   Japan gov’s diplomacy Japan gov’s diplomacy is shifting from giving apologize to requesting apologize. I think this is from shifting power in domestic political influence. Old power politicians who knew WW2 were died or retired. Then current power politicians don’t know WW2, so that they shifts own diplomacy. This trend will continue until they take the critical mistake or they retire. The critical mistake is to begin the war. In fact, we Japanese may begin the war sooner or later. I hope I can survive in future and live long.

Next relationship between Japan and China

  2023/8/19.   Next relationship between Japan and China I am thinking about this news. US, Japan and South Korea agree to expand security ties at summit amid China, North Korea worries https://apnews.com/article/camp-david-summit-biden-south-korea-japan-0bc36bb3705a3dc1b69dc8cd47b35dd3 It looks that US gov treats Japan and South Korea as shields against China. This seems like a transparent strategy. I wanted US gov to notice China gov’s power and ambition. But I don’t want Japan to be a shield for USA. I am thinking about another news. China Evergrande files for bankruptcy protection in New York https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/China-debt-crunch/China-Evergrande-files-for-bankruptcy-protection-in-New-York This is the way Japan had passed, so that Japan has knowledge about the bubble burst. I recommend Japan gov to help China gov with the knowledge and without money. If they do so, next relationship between Japan and China will open, and it will be better than

Eternal Democracy Declaration

  2023/6/17.   Eternal Democracy Declaration I recommend to Taiwan gov for Eternal Democracy Declaration. There are 3 reasons, Logic, Benefit, and Emotion. (論・利・情) 1)Logic(論) If Taiwan gov do Independent Declaration, it means China gov has been governing Taiwan island. So Independent Declaration is not suitable. 2)Benefit(利) USA and other G7 countries can’t ignore Taiwan after Eternal Democracy Declaration. 3)Emotion(情) USA people have special emotion for Democracy. ————————With ChatGPT———————————— I would like to propose the idea of an "Eternal Democracy Declaration" to the government of Taiwan. This proposition is built on three core pillars - Logic, Benefit, and Emotion. Logic: A declaration of independence could potentially imply that China has been governing Taiwan, an assertion that isn't necessarily accurate or helpful. Rather than a declaration of independence, an affirmation of Taiwan's democratic principles through an "Eternal Democracy

Unbalanced balance

  2023/6/6.  Unbalanced balance I am thinking about world politics. Ukraine vs Russia war has not ended. In fact, there is balanced balance.  Ukraine vs Russia = G7 vs China Is this true? Russia may be under China and there are G7 behind Ukraine. Shares of global GDP are  Ukraine:0.3% Russia:3% G7:44% China:18% If Ukraine : Russia = G7 : China is true, 0.3 : 3 = 44 : 18, and this is false. There may be unbalanced balance. My questions are 1)Ukraine is too small 2)Russia is too big 3)G7 is too small 4)China is too big I am thinking one idea, China does not support Russia enough and G7 support Ukraine too much. (I think that helping Ukraine is important.) I mean Ukraine + G7’s support = Russia (+China’s small support). This means Ukraine + G7’s support = 3, and Russia = 3. Furthermore, if China supports Russia bigger, Ukraine (+G7) will lose. In fact, G7 is losing their powers by this war. This article is hard to read, so below is with ChatGPT. ———————————

Semi alliance between Russia and North Korea

There is a possibility of a semi-alliance forming between Russia and North Korea. Recently, North Korea has launched missiles toward Japan multiple times, possibly as a way of intimidating Japan and discouraging any thoughts of war with Russia. This situation raises questions about the potential rewards for North Korea. One possibility is that Russia may provide them with nuclear weapons and related technologies.

Skills and Relationship

When considering the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it is important to remember that there may be readers from both countries reading this article. With that in mind, I want to discuss the relationship between skills and relationships. The figure below illustrates the result of the relationship between Person A and Person B, including Fight, Flight, and Negotiation skills. Fight represents physical combat between the two parties, while Flight involves escaping from Person A or Person B. Negotiation refers to resolving the conflict through language and without violence. Currently, it seems that Russia is relying solely on its Fighting skill when dealing with Ukraine, and is unable or unwilling to utilize its Negotiation skill. This puts Ukraine in a favorable position, as they have the option to use either Fight or Negotiation skills to address the conflict. While Ukraine cannot escape the conflict, they may have the opportunity to win if they can employ their Negotiation skill ef

BOSO TOKYO

 2022/6/29.  New NFT style I joined NFT group, BOSO TOKYO. It seems to be exciting. NFT will be main tool for ART dealings. https :// wn. nr /WFZ5Ss

Russia under China

  2022/3/14.  Russia under China Russia is going to be bankruptcy. Russia Asked China for Military Assistance, U.S. Officials Say https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/russia-ukraine-latest-news-2022-03-14/card/russia-asked-china-for-military-assistance-u-s-officials-say-dSUFOEDMEjOLOtc03R8s Thinking about separating one country from the world economy is similar to thinking about “Four color theorem”. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_color_theorem The world economy can be mapped with colors more than four. But if rest of world want to separate one country,  is it possible or not? Russia has big GDP, 11th in 2017. https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-by-country/ But Russia doesn’t have access with many countries. This means a lot of countries doesn’t need Russia economy. In this time, “access” is border to other economies. What this means is that separating Russia from the world economy is easy to do. What similar to “Four color theorem” is that if one country doesn’t

Russia as one of players

  2022/2/22.  Russia as one of players Russia used classical method to Ukraine, “Divide and Rule”. Russia faces new sanctions, as war fears rise https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/russia-facing-new-sanctions-after-putin-recognises-breakaway-regions-2022-02-22/ And I watched another news. Trump’s Truth Social Launches on Apple’s App Store, With Glitches https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-truth-social-launches-with-glitches-11645528246?mod=hp_lead_pos8 Russia and Former President Trump may be making one team. The team will challenge to win to current rulers. (I don’t believe conspiracy theory.) The team will claim that the world is governed by someone who are very rich. (I want to claim that Russia President Putin and USA Former President Trump are both very rich!!!) Putin and Trump may have contacts to each other.(I have some conviction about this idea.) 2022/2/23.  Additional News I found I found this news... Russian ambassador told Moscow that Kushner wanted secr

Turkey

  2022/2/13.  Turkey I read this article, and am thinking about Turkey government’s debt. Fitch downgrades Turkish debt amid soaring inflation https://www.ft.com/content/d6799877-7bae-4f78-b53d-8d1828a41c82 I searched some datas about Turkey’s economy. From google, And this site, https://www.statista.com/statistics/277040/national-debt-in-turkey-in-relation-to-gross-domestic-product-gdp/ Turkey GDP(b$) Currency($)@Jan Debt ratio(%) 2017 859 0.27 28.03 2018 778.4 0.27 30.17 2019 761.4 0.19 32.66 2020 720.1 0.17 39.77 2021 0.14 37.77? 2022? 0.072 37.92? Currency’s value is decreased to half from 2021 to 2022. This means GDP’s value would be half and Debt ratio would be twice. Then I searched Turkey’s interest ratio was 14.00% at Jan 20, 2022. https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/1/20/turkeys-central-bank-hits-pause-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged In 2022, Turkey’s

Ukraine between EU and Russia

  2022/2/8.  Ukraine between EU and Russia Ukraine is old Philippines. EU is like a sleepy tiger, it still sleep. Ukraine will be taken by Russia in near future not only by war, but by indirect methods. After that, EU people will wake up and know what is/will be happening outside of their EU. Then, EU will try to shake hands with USA tightly. Ukraine will be tragic country, but will be medicine for world peace. Philippines, one of tragic countries in Asia, had kicked out US Army. Then China Army has constructed their bases in Philippines. Other Asia countries has watched it, and they seems to band together. I read this article. https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-to-meet-macron-as-france-tries-to-flex-diplomatic-muscle-over-ukraine-11644241608?page=1 EU is sleeping with dream. Russia is ready for something.