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Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak

  Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return  High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...

Nikkei index price analysis with Python

 2022/1/16.  Nikkei index price analysis with Python


I wrote some Python codes for analysis about Nikkei index price.

The time period is 2021/10 - 2021/12, and I uses Nikkei index price, Volume and Selling Volume as parameters.


The codes are on GitHub.

https://github.com/Kouhei-Takagi/NIKKEI-Price


PPDAC is important for this task, PPDAC is consisted from Problem, Plan, Data, Analysis and Conclusion.


{Ploblem}

I want to know what happened about movement of Nikkei index price.


{Plan}

Can I know it from some parameters?


{Data}

I collected data with some Python codes.


{Analysis}

I visualized the data and thought about it.


2021/10





2021/11





2021/12





These figures show that (A) Volume and Selling Volume had strong relationships, and (B) perhaps Nikkei index price downed after 5 -10 day later when Selling Volume increased.

 

{Conclusion}

Not secret.

From thinking about above (A) and (B), Nikkei index price may be difficult to fall down or raise up.


I thought that (A) means professional investors are fighting each other and small investors can’t get money from Nikkei market.

Because (A) shows that a lot of rates of Volume were occupied by professional’s tradings.

(B) shows that markets were effected by professional’s tradings.

Thus, (A) and (B) show that it was in box range ,and Nikkei market was not fun for small investors.


If (A) and (B) keep on, Nikkei market will be in box range.

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