Dissonance between President Trump and FRB I read this news. Trump readies order for steep tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, China https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-readies-order-steep-tariffs-goods-mexico-canada-china-2025-02-01/ I felt that there may be dissonance between President Trump and FRB. President Trump might think that FRB would cut interest rates, but FRB didn’t. I thought that President Trump wanted to order tariffs, and FRB would support it. Why does this dissonance happen? I think that there are difference between what President Trump watches and what FRB watches. President Trump may watch the future, but FRB watches past.

  Human evaluations are difficult, because they are all opinions. Human evaluations are very difficult. Because they are all someone’s opinions. I found it. Human vertical and horizontal evaluations are all stood on someone’s opinions. So that there is no perfect evaluation. If some consultants bring to you perfect human resource evaluation, the consultants are liars.

  Pretender to be tough easily shifts to be weak I know one pretender to be tough. The person shifted to be weak after he/she lost own bluff. I thought about the difference between real confidence and bluff. Real confidence stands by our sides, but bluff is put on own faces. Real confidence makes us stronger. Bluff can make us both of stronger and weaker. In other words, real confidence is asset, but bluff is risk. The result of bluff will be better or worse than without bluff. (I don’t like such risk, so that I try not to use bluff.) I thought about below matrix. Result With Real confidence Without Real confidence With Bluff Middle Risk and High Return  High Risk and Middle Return Without Bluff Low Risk and Middle Return Middle Risk and Low Return I don’t know this matrix is true, but not so far from true. Then I thought about another things, “Are there perfect method?” If I have real confidence and don’t use bluff, there ar...

  Caution:Foreign intelligence agencies may work harder in Far East Asia I watched this Korea news. South Korean leader's security chief warns against violent attempts to arrest Yoon https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-korean-presidential-security-chief-appear-questioning-by-police-friday-2025-01-10/ Then I watched Japanese famous talent’s scandal. The scandal may be aimed to damage the conservative media Fuji-Sankei Holding. I don’t know what truth is. However, I think that both of the Korea news and the scandal news may be set up by foreign intelligence agencies. Because the timing was too good for some foreign governments, including Russia and North Korea. The relationship between Russia and North Korea may be deeper than I thought.

  How to improve Pawn promotion probability   In my economic view, there are 3 types of economic companies. Pawn: Domestic companies which work in own countries  Minor and Major pieces: Big companies which earn moneys in foreign countries  King: Central centers in own countries  Then, how to improve Pawn promotion probability? Supporting by Minor and Major pieces to Pawn may be good method. For example, if pawns in USA want to earn in China markets, supporting by Tesla, Microsoft and other Minor and Major pieces will be good. Conversely, if pawns in China want to earn in USA markets, supporting by Minor and Major pieces will be good. I recalled Mercari company’s fault. Mercari has tried to enter in USA markets only by itself, but it was failed. Because it had no support from minor and major pieces in Japan, such as TOYOTA or SoftBank.

  Honda decided to lose their wings, and who will catch the feathers? I felt very uncool for Honda.  Honda, Nissan aim to merge by 2026 in historic pivot https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/honda-nissan-set-announce-launch-integration-talks-media-reports-say-2024-12-22/ Both of Honda and Nissan are losing China market car shares. In Japan, there are few companies which earn foreign currency. There are 2 company types in economy. High classed pieces and Pawns. High classed pieces earn foreign currency and Pawns are domestic companies. High classed pieces in Japan are losing their powers. They have earned from USA and China markets, but Chinese companies become their rivals. This indicates that China Pawns become to win Japan high classed pieces. In fact, if Japan high classed pieces lose USA markets, Japan won’t be able to earn foreign currency so that Japan gov will start to sell foreign assets(including US gov bonds). By the way, Honda will lose their wings ...

  Investment too many money, is it good or bad for investor and investment target? Background If some investors invest 1 trillion dollars to investment target, they will expect some returns. Is this good or bad? The answer will depend on the investors and the target. When the returns is 5% yield, the target pays 50 billon dollars for 1 trillion dollars debt. Lender’s logic and Borrower’s logic Lender will think that borrower has to pay the return because lender took risk. Borrower will think that lender is bad because lender lend money than borrower can pay back. (Of course, this is not my story. I don’t have a debt.) Japan gov and US gov Japan gov lend money to US gov as to buy government bond. Does Japan gov take risk? I think it’s NO. They borrow money from Japanese people and they lend money to US gov. If lender don’t take risk, who does take the risk? Japanese people… Over lending Further, I think over lending have to be ruled. Over lending may cause ove...

  WMWB:We Make World Better I changed my mind. From “World Never Make America Great Again”(WNMAGA) to “We Make World Better”(WMWB). Further, not it is “your” problem nor “his/her” problem nor “their” problem, but “OUR” problem. America’s problem is not Americans’ problem, but our problem. (Also Japan’s problem is not Japanese’ problem, but our problem, too.) Not only my choice, but our choice.

USA:From being Leader to Dealer American people have stopped to have leadership. I felt something sad, but it’s okay. USA country turned from leader to dealer. Some American wanted to make America great again.(MAGA) The world NEVER makes America great again.(NMAGA)

  Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets Background I was interested in this news. Tradeweb to extend trading hours the day after US election https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/tradeweb-extend-trading-hours-day-after-us-election-2024-10-31/ My thought Share markets has turned to be Legal Online CASINO. USA share markets’ rival will be real/online CASINO. How to invest good companies? Venture capital is the way, not to bet money on share markets. What will happen in share markets? Current share markets are not the field to invest good companies. They are the field to play “Old lady game”. Rich sells shares in high price and poor buy a small amount the shares. After stock markets crash, Rich buy the shares little by little in low price to collect them. This is the system, which is alike to a hamster wheel. One idea I have read the book “Just Keep Buying”. The book only told that Just Keep Buying the shares. I can write Python code and use GCP, so that t...